Majority of Poles believe Russian provocations against Poland are likely

- 5 September, 11:30
Stock photo: Getty Images

Almost two-thirds of Poles (64.9%) believe that warnings about further Russian provocations against Poland are credible.

Source: the results of a SW Research poll commissioned by Onet, as reported by European Pravda

Details: When asked, "Do you consider warnings about possible new Russian provocations against Poland credible?", 64.9% of respondents answered in the affirmative. Some 29.4% answered "definitely yes", while 37.2% said "probably yes".

A total of 18.8% of respondents expressed the opposite view. The option "definitely no" was chosen by 7.6%, while 11.6% answered "probably no". Another 14.3% chose "hard to say".

The SW Research poll commissioned by Onet was conducted from 31 August to 1 September 2026 using computer-assisted web interviewing (CAWI). As part of the study, 800 interviews were conducted among a nationwide sample of adults. A quota sample was used to ensure representativeness by gender, age and the population size of the respondents' cities.

Background:

  • This week, Polish Defence Minister Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz said that his country is strengthening the protection of its airspace due to recent provocations by Russia.
  • From 10 September to 9 December 2026, eastern Poland will be included in the EP R134 temporary restricted airspace zone.
  • On 30 July, a Russian Kh-101 cruise missile manufactured in the second quarter of 2026 at a plant in the Moscow Oblast fell in Lublin Voivodeship.
  • Earlier, media reported that Poland, Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia are cooperating on protecting against potential Russian attacks on infrastructure in these countries, which could be carried out under a "false flag", as allied intelligence agencies have repeatedly warned.

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