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Russian Statistics Service forecasts extinction of Russian population at speed of up to 700,000 people a year

Monday, 23 October 2023, 15:34
Russian Statistics Service forecasts extinction of Russian population at speed of up to 700,000 people a year
stock photo: getty images

Due to natural reasons alone the population of Russia will be decreasing at a speed of up to 700,000 persons a year by 2026-2027.

Source: updated demographic forecast published by the Federal State Statistics Service of Russia, as reported by The Moscow Times

In 2023 as a result of natural loss Russia will lose 600,700 people, in 2024 – 675,100, in 2025 – 693,200, in 2026-2027 – over 700,000. Then the natural decrease will allegedly begin to gradually slow down to 652,000 people in 2030 and 532,000 in 2035, but will remain higher than 400,000 people a year even until the middle of 2040s.

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Meanwhile, according to the forecast of the Russian Statistics Service, over 200,000 immigrants will arrive in Russia annually. The surge will reach the number of 4.8 million persons by 2046 which still only compensates for 40% of the natural decrease of the Russian population.

Russia will gradually turn into a country of the elderly. The number of children and teenagers will fall by 26% by the beginning of 2040s from 27.2 million to 20 million, and their share in the population will decrease from 18.5% to 14.2%. In contrast, the share of retirees will increase from 24.5% to 26.9% in 2046.

The natural decrease in population numbers is happening due to a falling birth rate, which started soon after the annexation of the Crimean Peninsula in 2014.

Since then the natural fall of the Russian population has surpassed 3 million people.

Russian President Vladimir Putin demanded to stop the natural decrease of the population within the Russian project Demografia (Demographics) in 2018.

At first it was expected to show results by 2024, then it was postponed until 2030. But according to the forecast of the Federal Statistics Service, the goal will remain unachievable even in a quarter of a century.

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