75% of Ukrainians oppose "peace plan" that would include troop withdrawal from Donbas

Three-quarters of Ukrainians are opposed to a "peace plan" which, among other things, would include the withdrawal of troops from Donbas, limits on the size of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and a lack of specific security guarantees.

Source: a survey conducted by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) from 26 November to 13 December

Quote: "The Russian plan remains categorically unacceptable – 75% of Ukrainians consider it completely unacceptable (the same number was in September 2025). Only 17% of Ukrainians are ready for the Russian version of peace (the same number as before)."

Details: Meanwhile, 72% of Ukrainians (KIIS noted that mostly without enthusiasm) are ready to approve a plan proposed by Europe and Ukraine. Only 14% categorically reject it.

KIIS noted that two shortened versions of a "peace plan" were prepared as part of the survey. One was a hypothetical plan from Europe and Ukraine and the other a hypothetical Russian plan. Respondents were randomly given one of the two versions, without being told whether it was from Europe and Ukraine or from Russia.

A provisional plan by Europe and Ukraine:

• Ukraine receives reliable security guarantees from Europe and the United States, including sustained supplies of weapons and financial support in sufficient amounts, as well as the closure of Ukraine's airspace to Russian attacks.
• The current front line is frozen; Russia retains control over the occupied territories, but Ukraine and the international community do not officially recognise this.
• Ukraine moves towards accession to the EU.
• Sanctions against Russia remain in place until a sustainable peace is established and the threat of renewed Russian aggression disappears.

A provisional plan by Russia:

• The United States and Europe lift all sanctions against Russia.
• The Russian language is granted official status in Ukraine.
• Ukraine must significantly reduce its armed forces and limit its weaponry.
• Ukraine permanently renounces NATO membership, and the West may no longer supply weapons to Ukraine.
• Russia has the right to determine what security guarantees for Ukraine will look like and will be one of the guarantor states of Ukraine's security.
• Ukraine withdraws its troops from parts of Donetsk Oblast currently under its control, including Kramatorsk, Sloviansk and other cities.
• Ukraine officially recognises Crimea, Donetsk Oblast and Luhansk Oblast as part of Russia and permanently relinquishes them.
• Russia retains control over the occupied parts of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia oblasts.

For reference: The survey was conducted from 26 November to 13 December. Using telephone interviews based on a random sample of mobile phone numbers, 547 respondents aged 18 and over were surveyed, all of whom live in territory controlled by the Ukrainian government. The sample did not include residents of territories temporarily not controlled by the Ukrainian authorities (although some respondents were internally displaced persons who had moved from occupied territories), nor did it include citizens who left Ukraine after 24 February 2022.

Under normal circumstances, the formal statistical margin of error for such a sample (with a probability of 0.95 and taking into account a design effect of 1.3) does not exceed 5.6% for indicators close to 50%, 4.8% for indicators close to 25%, 3.4% for indicators close to 10%, and 2.5% for indicators close to 5%.

Under wartime conditions, in addition to the stated formal margin of error, a certain systematic bias is present. However, sociologists believe that the results nevertheless retain a high level of representativeness and allow for a fairly reliable analysis of public sentiment.

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