Most Ukrainians ready to endure war for as long as needed

- 15 December, 10:55
Photo: State Emergency Service of Ukraine

Most Ukrainians have said they are ready to endure the war for as long as needed, and a further one percent are prepared to endure for about another year.

Source: a survey conducted by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) from 26 November to 13 December

Quote: "At the same time the majority of Ukrainians (63%) continue to say that they are ready to endure the war as long as necessary (in September it was 62%). Another 1% said they were ready to endure for about a year.

A total of 15% of respondents say a shorter period (six months or several months) (in September it was 21%, but at the same time, the number of those who could not answer the question increased from 13% to 21%)."

Details: At the same time, only 9% of Ukrainians expect the war to end before the beginning of 2026 (in September it was 18%), with 14% believing that the war could end in the first half of 2026 (15% in September).

Another 11% speak about the second half of 2026 (12% previously), and 32% believe it will be 2027 or later (the same as before).

"Every third respondent (33%, an increase from 23% compared to September) answered "don't know"," the sociologists noted.

For reference: The survey was conducted from 26 November to 13 December. Using telephone interviews based on a random sample of mobile phone numbers, 547 respondents aged 18 and over were surveyed, all of whom live in territory controlled by the Ukrainian government. The sample did not include residents of territories temporarily not controlled by the Ukrainian authorities (although some respondents were internally displaced persons who had moved from occupied territories), nor did it include citizens who left Ukraine after 24 February 2022.

Under normal circumstances, the formal statistical margin of error for such a sample (with a probability of 0.95 and taking into account a design effect of 1.3) does not exceed 5.6% for indicators close to 50%, 4.8% for indicators close to 25%, 3.4% for indicators close to 10%, and 2.5% for indicators close to 5%.

Under wartime conditions, in addition to the stated formal margin of error, a certain systematic bias is present. However, sociologists believe that the results nevertheless retain a high level of representativeness and allow for a fairly reliable analysis of public sentiment.

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