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ISW explains why Lukashenko is going to China

Sunday, 26 February 2023, 03:48
ISW explains why Lukashenko is going to China

China may try to use the agreements with Belarus to conceal violations of sanctions during the supply of weapons to the Russian Federation, analysts at the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) believe.

Source: ISW reports

Details: The ISW suggests that Alexander Lukashenko plans to meet with Xi Jinping, probably in order to help Russia and China avoid sanctions amid reports that China is considering providing lethal assistance to Russia.


The Institute recalled that Lukashenko announced plans to visit China from 28 February to 2 March and meet with Xi Jinping, probably to sign agreements on trade, investment, large-scale joint projects and other matters.

Quote: "Lukashenko's announcement of his planned visit coincides with reports that senior US officials assess that China is seriously considering selling combat drones, personal weapons, and 122 mm and 152 mm artillery shells to Russia.

Russian and Chinese officials have also reportedly developed plans for the shipment of drones to Russia under falsified shipping documents to avoid international sanction measures.


China may seek to use the agreements with Belarus to obfuscate violations of sanctions."


  • Anthony Blinken, US Secretary of State, confirmed media reports about China discussing the possibility of providing Russia with lethal military aid that could be directed to support aggression against Ukraine.
  • US President Joe Biden stated that the United States would respond if China were to supply Russia with lethal weapons in its war against Ukraine.
  • CIA Director William Burns confirmed that the Chinese government was considering providing Russia with lethal weapons for the war against Ukraine, although a final decision has yet to be made.

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